Maybe. The election is a long way away. The Rs can still scare voters with images of Democrats opening borders and allowing men in women's locker rooms. What Trump should do is ease up on ICE going into cities, come up with a better health insurance plan, and focus on the economy, but Trump being Trump, I'm not holding my breath any more than I'm holding my breath that Ds will come out for border security and protecting girls' sports. For people in the middle, it will, as usual, come down to a case of holding your nose and voting for the lesser of two evils.
Does evidence support the idea that low engagement voters are generally anti-incumbent? My theory is that they swung against Dems in 2024 because Biden was in the White House and are now swinging against Trump.
"But it’s not all good news for the Democrats. We asked voters about their top two issues and, unsurprisingly, 60% of voters ranked “cost of living” as a top-two issue in our survey. But despite Trump’s tariff policy and the continuing frustration with high grocery and consumer-goods prices, Democrats won these cost-of-living voters by just under half a percentage point in our survey."
Likely because Democrats have shown minimal abilities to improve affordability in their fiefdoms of longstanding control, and their tendency to regulate almost certainly makes things worse.
Inject this into my veins.
Wishful thinking. But I'll wish along with you.
How are poll results “wishful thinking”?
It's a long time until the 2026 midterms.
Maybe. The election is a long way away. The Rs can still scare voters with images of Democrats opening borders and allowing men in women's locker rooms. What Trump should do is ease up on ICE going into cities, come up with a better health insurance plan, and focus on the economy, but Trump being Trump, I'm not holding my breath any more than I'm holding my breath that Ds will come out for border security and protecting girls' sports. For people in the middle, it will, as usual, come down to a case of holding your nose and voting for the lesser of two evils.
Which Democrats running in competitive seats are against border security? The party has moved pretty far to the center on the issue in recent years.
Also, the salience of immigration to normie voters has shrunk and it probably won’t be a top issue in 2026.
Does evidence support the idea that low engagement voters are generally anti-incumbent? My theory is that they swung against Dems in 2024 because Biden was in the White House and are now swinging against Trump.
"But it’s not all good news for the Democrats. We asked voters about their top two issues and, unsurprisingly, 60% of voters ranked “cost of living” as a top-two issue in our survey. But despite Trump’s tariff policy and the continuing frustration with high grocery and consumer-goods prices, Democrats won these cost-of-living voters by just under half a percentage point in our survey."
Likely because Democrats have shown minimal abilities to improve affordability in their fiefdoms of longstanding control, and their tendency to regulate almost certainly makes things worse.