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How Democrats turn a 6-point lead into a 10-point lead
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How Democrats turn a 6-point lead into a 10-point lead

Democrats’ sudden surge with their low-propensity voters

The 2026 midterm election is officially underway: California, Illinois, Indiana, Maine, Minnesota, Montana, Nebraska, New Mexico, Ohio, South Dakota, Vermont, Virginia, and Wyoming have all begun their early voting periods. As those results come in, analysts of all stripes will be tempted to draw early conclusions. But according to VoteHub’s Zachary Don…

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