Confidence interval

Seeing like an elite
Three findings from our latest poll
 • Kobe Yank-Jacobs
Nate Silver on why the center-left is losing
Does the center-left need to separate itself from the establishment?
 • Jerusalem Demsas
How Bobby Pulido thinks he can win a Trump +18 congressional district
Can Democrats still be competitive in the Rio Grande valley?
 • Lakshya Jain
53:39
How Texas finally became a toss-up
Ken Paxton may be the weakest candidate in the entire country
 • Lakshya Jain and Armin Thomas
Nate Silver just wants to be right
America’s most famous forecaster debates The Argument over what makes a good model
 • Lakshya Jain
1:06:12
Four things I changed my mind on after a year of polling
What Americans really think about COVID, AI, Twitter, and the elites
 • Lakshya Jain
No one is buying the right-wing theory of the elite
What Bernie Sanders gets right about billionaires
 • Jerusalem Demsas
A Michigan overperformer’s advice to Abdul El-Sayed
Kristen McDonald Rivet on winning in Michigan
 • Lakshya Jain
25:58
Men also want it all
Does anyone actually miss the ‘50s?
 • Maibritt Henkel
The Michigan senate race is Abdul El-Sayed’s to lose
Our model shows Abdul El-Sayed can survive a "squad"-level underperformance
 • Lakshya Jain
Why Nevada laps California in vote-counting
A recording from Lakshya Jain
 • Lakshya Jain
51:05
Who supports free trade? Everyone.
The populist case for economic liberalism
 • Jeremiah Johnson
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